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  • user warning: Table './conserva_drupal/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: UPDATE cache_filter SET data = '<p>2016 ELECTION: February 5, 2015</p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" src=\"http://conservativechronicle.com/sites/default/files/Buchanan.gif\" /></p>\n<p>Donald Trump won more votes in the Iowa caucuses than any Republican candidate in history.<br />\n Impressive, except Ted Cruz set the new all-time record.<br />\n And Marco Rubio exceeded all expectations by taking 23 percent.<br />\n Cruz won Tea Party types, Evangelicals, and the hard right.<br />\n Trump won the populists and nationalists who want the borders secure, no amnesty, and no more trade deals that enable rival powers like China to disembowel American industries.</p>\n<p> AND RUBIO? He is what columnist Mark Shields called Jimmy Carter, 35 years ago, &ldquo;the remainderman of national politics. He gets what&rsquo;s left over after his opponents have taken theirs by being the least unacceptable alternative to the greatest number of voters.&rdquo;<br />\n Marco is the fallback position of a reeling establishment that is appalled by Trump, loathes Cruz, and believes Rubio &mdash; charismatic, young, personable &mdash; can beat Hillary Clinton.<br />\n But there is a problem here for the establishment.<br />\n While Rubio has his catechism down cold &mdash; &ldquo;I&rsquo;ll tear up that Iran deal my first day in office!&rdquo; &mdash; his victory would mean a rejection of the populist revolt that arose with Trump&rsquo;s entry and has grown to be embraced by a majority of Republicans.<br />\n Cruz, Trump, Carson &mdash; the outsiders &mdash; won over 60 percent of all caucus votes. Their anti-Washington messages, Trump&rsquo;s and Cruz&rsquo;s especially, grew the GOP turnout to its largest in history, 186,000, half again as many as participated in the record turnout of 2012.<br />\n Most significant, 15,000 more Iowans voted in GOP caucuses than the Democratic caucuses, where participation plummeted 30 percent from 2008.<br />\n What does this portend?<br />\n While Iowa has gone Democratic in six of the last seven presidential elections, it is now winnable by Republicans &mdash; on two conditions.<br />\n The party must be united. And it cannot lose the fire and energy that produced this turnout and brought out those astonishing crowds of tens of thousands.<br />\n The remainderman, however, cannot reproduce that energy or those crowds. For Rubio is not a barn burner; he is a malleable man of maneuver.<br />\n Arriving in Washington to the cheers of populists reveling in his rout of Charlie Crist, Rubio went native and signed on to the Schumer-McCain amnesty.<br />\n He voted for &ldquo;fast track,&rdquo; the GOP&rsquo;s pre-emptive surrender of Congress&rsquo;s constitutional power to amend trade treaties. He hailed the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade treaty President Obama brought home.<br />\n Now he is moving crabwise away from TPP. Shiftiness, however, does not bother the establishment, it reassures the establishment.<br />\n Rubio is &ldquo;The Hustler,&rdquo; the &ldquo;Fast Eddie&rdquo; Felson of 2016. And the Beltway is all in behind him.</p>\n<p> HE IS NOW the candidate of the Washington crowd that a majority of Republicans voted to reject in Iowa, the darling of the donor class, and the last hope of a Beltway punditocracy that recoils whenever the pitchforks appear.<br />\n Which brings us to the antithesis of Rubio &mdash; Bernie Sanders.<br />\n Given where he started a year ago, a sparring partner for the heavyweight Clinton, and where he ended, a split decision and a coin toss, the Brooklyn-born Socialist was the big winner of Iowa.<br />\n In the Democratic race, it is Sanders who has been getting the Trump-sized crowds, while Hillary and Bill Clinton have been playing to what look like audiences at art films in the 1950s.<br />\n Sanders will likely have the best night of his campaign Tuesday &mdash; if Hillary Clinton&rsquo;s surge does not overtake him &mdash; when he wins New Hampshire.<br />\n After that, however, absent celestial intervention, such as a federal prosecutor being inspired to indict Clinton, he begins a long series of painful defeats until his shining moment at the convention.<br />\n But just as a stifling of the Trump-Cruz-Carson rebellion, with another establishment favorite like Rubio, would bank all the fires of enthusiasm in the GOP, Clinton&rsquo;s rout of Sanders would cause millions of progressives and young people who rallied to Bernie to give up on 2016.<br />\n And if both the Sanders&rsquo; revolution that captured half his party in Iowa, and the Trump-Cruz revolt that captured half of their party are squelched, and we get an establishment Republican vs. an establishment Democrat in the fall, America will be sundered.<br />\n For there is not one America today, nor two. Politically, there are at least four.<br />\n Were this Britain or France, the GOP would have long ago split between its open-borders, globalist, war party wing, and its populist, patriotic, social conservative wing.<br />\n The latter would be demanding a timeout on immigration, secure borders, no amnesty, no more needless wars, and a trade policy dictated by what was best for America, not Davos or Dubai.<br />\n Democrats would break apart along the lines of the Clinton-Sanders divide, with the neo-socialists becoming a raucous and robust anti-big bank, anti-Wall Street, soak-the-rich and share-the-wealth party.<br />\n These splits may be postponed again in 2016, but these rebellions are going to reappear until they succeed in overthrowing our failed establishments.</p>\n<p> FOR THE CAUSES that produced such revolutions &mdash; Third World invasions, income inequality, economic torpor, culture wars, the real and relative decline of the West &mdash; have become permanent conditions.</p>\n', created = 1576250915, expire = 1576337315, headers = '', serialized = 0 WHERE cid = '2:ddd24aeafa1369e81c58bb7c2e930f34' in /home/conserva/public_html/includes/cache.inc on line 112.
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The remainderman

2016 ELECTION: February 5, 2015

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